Climate Prediction Tutorial #1
- presents some of the issues associated with predicting the world's climate variability.
Tutorial #2: The Science and Practice of Seasonal
Climate Forecasting at the IRI
- gives additional detail about how the climate is forecastable, the IRI's
forecast procedure, the skill of the forecasts, the tercile system, and others.
IRI Seasonal Climate Forecasts|
A net assessment (or distillation) of information from a
variety of climate prediction tools, including dynamical models of
the atmosphere, statistical models of climate variability related to
sea surface temperature variability, and
knowledge of the current state of the climate system.
IRI Probabilistic ENSO Forecasts|
A net assessment of probabilities that the anomaly of the sea
surface temperature in the NINO3.4 region will be indicative of La Nina,
neutral, and El Nino conditions, using dynamical and statistical model preditions
and the subjective assessment of IRI's forecasters and climate
The IRI is also posting ensemble predictions from several dynamical computer
models and the predicted sea surface temperatures, that serve as the net assessment
forecasts' lower boundary conditions.